The Ukrainian Quagmire and Pakistani Losses

After days of Pakistan and India exchanging artillery, missile and drone strikes, the two sides reportedly reached a ceasefire mediated by the Trump Administration and the Kremlin on Sunday evening/Monday afternoon Delhi and Islamabad time. Although the Indian Air Force started the recent clashes rather badly, losing multiple jets including a French made Rafale and a Russo-Indian SU30MKI to Pakistan's Chinese-provided long-range air-to-air missiles and Electronic Warfare (EW), Indian quantitative if not qualitative superiority began to be felt over the last several days, as Pakistani Air Force bases were pummeled with missile and drone strikes. And this is related to an interesting prior development on the diplomatic front of the conflict. Pakistan almost desperately started to plead for not only American but Russian mediation to prevent further escalation. But why?

As we recall, back in April 2022, the US planned, sponsored and executed a parliamentary and military coup in Pakistan to remove Pakistan's most popular Prime Minister and peace candidate, Imran Khan. Khan knew the coup was coming and even named Donald Lu, Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asia Affairs, as the mastermind behind the American plot. But Khan was ultimately powerless to stop his removal from power by the Pakistani Army, using lawfare and flimsy corruption charges as a pretext. The US and the powers that be, that is a Pakistani military compromised at the top by America and Washington's candidate Shabaz Shariff were so scared of Khan, that they gave the former cricketeer a 14 year sentence.

The point here, of course, was to reverse Khan’s peace development policies and to bring Pakistan into supporting Nazi Ukraine with its military. Thus began the treason of the Shabaz regime, selling off more and more of Pakistan's stockpiles of artillery rounds, MLRS rockets and various US-made military equipment to the Narco Green Goblin in Kiev, through sales orchestrated via the CIA and NATO.

Now, in normal circumstances, the idea of someone giving up most of their stockpiles of ammunition would be far from a good one, examples of this are Denmark, which has emptied its entire artillery park for Ukraine even as President Trump refuses to rule out military action to take over the Danish possession of Greenland. Then there's other minor European countries: Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain and so on. Even the United Kingdom has simply given away its entire fleet of US-made AS90 self-propelled guns, while waiting a few years on new Archer SPGs to be delivered from Sweden.

In Pakistan’s case, facing a numerically superior Indian Army's strongest advantage, which is the Indians' Soviet-style emphasis on artillery, emptying out its 155 mm shell reserves for Kiev has been downright stupid, considering how many of PM Modi's Hindu nationalist supporters hate Pakistan with a passion. We are not just talking about Hindutva Indians, but also about the Sunni Muslim Taliban in Afghanistan, who have not forgotten or forgiven the complicity of the Pakistani elites in CIA drone strikes on various weddings and other civilian targets, plus the simmering Balochistan separatist issue on the borders with Shia Iran. Pakistan as a state has over its relatively short history managed to piss off almost everyone save for its 'Iron Brothers' in the PRC, including the former East Pakistan that fought a bloody civil war to secede and become Bangladesh.

Now with war with India on the horizon, with Iran a spark away and with border issues with Afghanistan’s Pashtuns who make up the majority of the Tailban and its own very large Pashtun minority, Pakistan’s generals have suddenly realized: they are out of ammo. How desperate is the situation in Pakistan? Indian media reports that Pakistan has enough ammunition for 4 days of combat. Understanding that India’s media is more than likely lying by exaggeration, lets say that Pakistan has 4 times more ammunition for its artillery than India is disclosing, that is still only 16 days, a bit more than 2 weeks of intensive battle.

While some ammunition may come from China, including highly specialized missiles and drones, counting on these supplies to be sustained over many months of combat would prove difficult. The reason for this is depending on just how involved China wishes to be, considering Xi is trying to improve relations with Modi to balance the American China hawks. As for the Anglo-American deep statists, who've been busy trying to spark a large South Asian war, they could not offer either side much in the way of shells even if they wanted to do so. America, even with the new automated artillery shell manufactory, is only producing 65,000 shells per month, far less than the US Army and the Ukrainians need, let alone satisfying the demands from Israel for shelling Gaza and Lebanon. Amid all these various demands, there simply is nothing left over for Pakistan.

Pakistan's ambassador to Russia, Mohammad Khalid Jamali, in an interview with TASS, the Russian news service, laid out Islamabad’s hopes of having Moscow play the crucial role in establishing an off-ramp from the escalation ladder. Moscow previously worked out a peace deal in Tashkent, Uzbek SSR in 1966 that ended another Indo-Pakistani war. Sergey Lavrov, Russia’s Foreign Minister, has already spoken with both sides, reminding them of the 1972 Simla Accord and the 1999 Lahore Declaration for the de-escalation of similar conflicts.

Considering that Russia, unlike the US, is bringing energy resources to the region, that will flow through Afghanistan and may move to India via Pakistan, providing all with transport revenues and cheap energy for internal growth, Moscow remains in a very privileged position relating to both sides. President Xi sitting next to President Putin at the Victory Day parade that the cokeheads in Kiev had threatened to attack was a powerful symbol of Sino-Russian resolve, to Washington, New Delhi and Islamabad. Russia’s Corridors of Stability and Prosperity (CSPs) are the South Asians best chance to lower over all tensions across the region, something Washington and especially London fears greatly. Thus the CIA and MI6 have been seeking to undermine the International North South Transport Corridors (INSTC) by using every trick they have to ratchet up tensions.

With luck, this latest exchange of fires will pass without major engagements, forestalling the possibility of a nuclear exchange. However, what has happened is that the treason of the Pakistani rulers and their service to Anglo-globalism has been made plain for all to see. Following their CIA/MI6 masters, they have sold off the security of their state for the Eurofanatic warmongers in Paris, Brussels and Berlin, and for their personal gain, arming a Banderite thug regime in Ukraine.

What the results of post-ceasefire revelations about Pakistani unpreparedness for the air war to become a grinding artillery war along the Line of Control (LOC) will be are hard to say. The best case scenario is that they will feed a rebound of the Khan supporters and will lead to the CIA puppets running out of the country for their lives. A return of Khan to the prime minister’s seat will be the best outcome for stability in the region. Pakistan’s ascension to BRICS+ and the spread of Russia’s CSP throughout the region would have positive implications for generations to come.